Coaxing Success Out of
the Failed NPT Review
by
John Loretz
On
May 27, the shadow of Hiroshima
spread ominously from the United Nations headquarters over the entire
world as
the seventh review conference of the 1970 Non-Proliferation Treaty
ended in
failure.
The
member states to the treaty were under a mandate -- defined by the NPT
itself
and by the outcomes of the two previous reviews -- to prevent the
spread of
nuclear weapons around the world and to hold the nuclear weapon states
accountable to their disarmament obligations. Instead, they found
themselves
caught in a tangle of procedural challenges from which they were unable
to
extricate themselves over an entire month.
Nearly
the first two weeks of the four-week conference were wasted in attempts
to
approve the agenda. The third week evaporated in disagreements over the
tasks
of the three working committees. The final week was dominated by the
anxiety of
watching the clock run out.
When it did, the fact that there was no
consensus
on how to strengthen the treaty was overshadowed by the realization
that our
nuclear peril -- already growing more urgent by the day -- had been
virtually
ignored while the diplomats argued over punctuation and footnotes.
The
failure to achieve consensus, however, should not be seen as a lack of
agreement on what needs to be done. The vast majority of NPT member
states
support the practical steps toward nuclear disarmament to which they
all agreed
in 2000: entry into force of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty,
negotiation of
a fissile materials ban, increased
investment in verification technologies, international controls over
the
nuclear fuel cycle, and fulfillment of the "unequivocal undertaking"
by the nuclear weapon states to eliminate their arsenals, among others.
They
also recognize that the non-proliferation goals of the treaty are
inseparable
from the disarmament goals. They said so
in speech after frustrated speech during a month of general debate, and
they
offered dozens of substantive proposals that were never given a formal
hearing.
Moreover,
a kind of shadow conference, comprising non-governmental organizations,
municipal officials, and experts in international law and disarmament
ranging
from Daniel Ellsberg to Robert McNamara, ran parallel to the
"official" review, adding the voices of civil society to the demands
for full compliance with the NPT. Mayor Akiba of Hiroshima presented an
emergency appeal to ban nuclear weapons by 2020 that has been endorsed
by
hundreds of other mayors around the world. Yoko Ono spoke emotionally
of the
need for nuclear disarmament to the delegates gathered in the General
Assembly,
who had just been given petitions with millions of signatures calling
for the
abolition of nuclear weapons. Hundreds of hibakusha -- the survivors of
the US
atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki -- came to the review as
witnesses to
the horror of nuclear war. Indigenous
peoples who have been the principal victims of nuclear weapons testing
and
production demanded disarmament as a form of social justice. Medical
students
descended upon Times Square to educate pedestrians about the
consequences of
nuclear war, while youth from many countries showed more leadership
qualities
than the diplomats and politicians who were sequestered in the dank and
smoky
basement of the UN.
With
so much desire by so many people to do the right thing, what went
wrong? At the
end of the day, the review collapsed over one issue: the refusal of the
United
States to build on the foundations for disarmament that were laid in
1995 and
2000, or even to acknowledge that those foundations exist.
The Bush administration boasted of progress
in reducing the numbers of nuclear weapons in slick publications that
failed to
mention the CTBT or the other practical steps to which the US had made
firm
commitments. Such claims rang hollow given the permanent role for
nuclear
weapons described in US security policy, the administration's push for
nuclear-armed bunker busters and missile defenses, and the indefensible
argument that nuclear weapons in "good" hands are acceptable and even
necessary, while they must be kept out of "evil" hands at all costs.
The other member states may have been willing to compromise on details
of
implementation; they refused to endorse a cynical revision of history
and a
self-serving double standard.
The
Bush administration may attempt to spin the meaning of the failed NPT
review to
suit its distaste for multilateral negotiations and for the UN as an
institution. This would be akin to a teenager breaking the lawnmower
and then
telling his parents that he can't cut the lawn because the lawnmower
doesn't
work. One cannot deliberately "break" a consensus-based decision
making process and then claim that multilateralism does not work. The
fact that
a few other countries exploited the vulnerabilities of consensus
decision
making to advance narrow, but comparatively minor, agendas does not
exonerate
the world's largest nuclear superpower. The US exploited the process
for the
clear purpose of retaining and modernizing its nuclear arsenal, while
trying to
deny that option to others.
A
medical analogy is hard to avoid: had the US delegation been a
physician and
the Earth its patient, we would have just witnessed a case of global
medical
malpractice with a potentially fatal outcome.
The
failure of the NPT review is a tragedy. That it happened in the 60th
anniversary year of Hiroshima and Nagasaki is an outrage. The challenge
for
civil society and for the overwhelming majority of countries that left
New York
frustrated and angry is to find new and more effective ways to ensure
full
compliance with the NPT and to rid the world of nuclear weapons before
they
eliminate us.